Could Defence Secretary John Healey lose his seat at the next general election?

John Healey (Secretary of Defence, United Kingdom) (left) and Boris Pistorius (Minister of Defence, Germany) (right). Seen here at the meeting of the Ukraine Defence Contact Group hosted by Germany and the United Kingdom.John Healey (Secretary of Defence, United Kingdom) (left) and Boris Pistorius (Minister of Defence, Germany) (right). Seen here at the meeting of the Ukraine Defence Contact Group hosted by Germany and the United Kingdom.
John Healey (Secretary of Defence, United Kingdom) (left) and Boris Pistorius (Minister of Defence, Germany) (right). Seen here at the meeting of the Ukraine Defence Contact Group hosted by Germany and the United Kingdom.
Being an MP and a senior Cabinet member can be a thankless task. Just ask John Healey.

He's the member for Rawmarsh and Conisbrough and has been the UK defence secretary since July, during a time of global instability and war in Europe.

Healey's 20-hour days at the sharp end of Britain's military deterrent and his increasing influence on the world stage, has brought him admirers in his 300 days as a senior Cabinet spokesman.

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But according to one poll, the natives are restless at home, and he is one of 10 members of the Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer's top team whose job, theoretically, is at risk.

Nine cabinet ministers, including Mr Healey, would see their seats go to Nigel Farage's Reform UK.

More in Common, the international research organisation, surveyed more than 16,000 people, asking them who they would vote for if there was a general election tomorrow.

The pollsters said Labour would lose 246 seats, based on the Government's performance.

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The ten Cabinet heads to roll in the hypothetical circumstances were Mr Healey, Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper, Health Secretary Wes Streeting and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband, Cabinet Office boss Pat McFadden, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson, Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds, Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy and Chief Whip Alan Campbell.

The research stated that Reform – with just four MPs in the House – would emerge as the largest party with 180 seats. However, no party would have an overall majority.

That pointed towards British politics being "fragmented to an unprecedented level" according to More in Common director Luke Tryl.

"Labour, having secured a historic victory now find themselves on the wrong side of a disillusioned electorate frustrated at the slow pace of change and some of the Government’s early missteps," he added.

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"Not only would an election tomorrow see the gains of 2024 largely reversed, but the party is also suffering historic losses in heartlands such as the Welsh Valleys, Greater Manchester and South Yorkshire."

Mr Healey need not start packing his Westminster suitcase just yet.

The next UK general election is scheduled to be held no later than August 15, 2029.

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